原标题: Well, looks like it’s that time of the year again for $COIN, $HOOD, $CRCL and co.
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Serenity 观察 · 06/04 10:00
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): Well, looks like it’s that time of the year again for $COIN, $HOOD, $CRCL and co. So much for a “friendly administration” and “strategic reserve” if they’re trying to ram through Bank Lobbied Clarity Act bills… To ban any form of innovation or competition against banks, with things like yields. And nuking liquidity as they go (but strengthens the USD) Valuations do seem compell
中文摘要 Serenity称,若美国推进受银行游说影响的Clarity Act法案,$COIN、$HOOD、$CRCL等加密相关公司或再度面临监管压力。
原标题: Just some random notes about $AVGO earnings transcript - Revenue target reiterated ($100B+ 2027, pretty sure markets wanted that t
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Serenity 观察 · 06/04 07:56
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): Just some random notes about $AVGO earnings transcript - Revenue target reiterated ($100B+ 2027, pretty sure markets wanted that to be raised this earning, hence the drop) Remember $NVDA Jensen comments about $MRVL $1T company around networking/connectivity/interconnects? - “So as the TPUs continue to accelerate, there’ll be pressure overall on margins. But the connectivity sid
中文摘要 Serenity摘录$AVGO业绩会要点称,公司重申2027年收入目标超过1000亿美元,但市场或期待上调,因此股价承压。
原标题: EU CHIPS Act 2.0 proposal is now released.
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Serenity 观察 · 06/03 22:14
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): EU CHIPS Act 2.0 proposal is now released. Great news: Photonics is now confirmed to be the new structural addition to EU policy. This is thematically bullish for the EU photonics sector. Thematically: - "This new component of the Chips for Europe Initiative supports the development of photonic integrated circuits and associated technologies" - "building and strengthening advan
中文摘要 Serenity称,欧盟CHIPS Act 2.0提案确认将光子学作为结构性新增方向,对欧洲光子产业主题形成利好。
原标题: The difference between NASDAQ and EU listing: $POET: $2.4B MC -> Packages Sivers lasers -> One $50m pre-production contract for wa
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Serenity 观察 · 06/03 19:50
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): The difference between NASDAQ and EU listing: $POET: $2.4B MC -> Packages Sivers lasers -> One $50m pre-production contract for warrants > $XFAB: $1.7B MC ->SiC/GaN/MEMS/Silicon Photonics Foundry backed with EU CHIPS ACT, US CHIPS ACT PMT -> Below replacement P/B value -> $NVDA, $NOK direct eval of their pre-commercial SiPH foundry, volume ramping 2027/2028 -> $XFAB leading hig
中文摘要 Serenity比较$POET与$XFAB称,前者市值约24亿美元,后者约17亿美元,涉及SiC、GaN、MEMS和硅光代工等业务。
原标题: Wow, only 1K more subscribers until I overtake Elon Musk!
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Serenity 观察 · 06/03 19:00
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): Wow, only 1K more subscribers until I overtake Elon Musk! Right now I’m at 46K. Elon is at 47K. Then I’ll hold the crown of the #1 most subscribed to person on the entire X platform? What a fun timeline. — Serenity (@aleabitoreddit) Jun 3, 2026
中文摘要 Serenity发文称其X订阅数达到4.6万,距Elon Musk的4.7万仅差约1000人,并调侃或将成为平台订阅最多个人。
原标题: Fun to see my highest conviction Neocloud pick in $NBIS age well.
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Serenity 观察 · 06/03 18:17
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): Fun to see my highest conviction Neocloud pick in $NBIS age well. I wrote a thesis last year on the Neocloud sector becoming a major theme. And then picked the King. -> Nebius is #1 out of the entire sector from $IREN to $CRWV. $84 -> $260. Thesis validated by markets.Serenity (@aleabitoreddit)Nebius [ $NBIS ] at $86.69 is the purest Neocloud and AI-infra asymmetry left. This i
中文摘要 Serenity表示去年提出Neocloud行业主题并看好$NBIS,称Nebius在$IREN、$CRWV等同类标的中表现领先。
原标题: GUESS WHAT ANON? After today’s new news with Ayar joining Nvidia NVLink fusion.
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Serenity 观察 · 06/03 15:50
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): GUESS WHAT ANON? After today’s new news with Ayar joining Nvidia NVLink fusion. $SIVE is now the laser source for likely: The entire Nvidia’s NVLink CPO listed supply chain ecosystem partners. From Marvell Celestial, Lightmatter, and now Ayar today (the three listed in NVLink CPO). This is why I call $SIVE a structural photonics laser chokepoint over CPO and now Nvidia ecosyste
中文摘要 Serenity称,Ayar加入Nvidia NVLink Fusion后,$SIVE或成为Nvidia NVLink CPO生态多家伙伴的激光来源。
原标题: Wow… new extremely transformative news got released today.
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Serenity 观察 · 06/03 14:51
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): Wow… new extremely transformative news got released today. Making a certain photonics company: The effective upstream laser chokepoint for $NVDA NVLink fusion CPO ecosystem. With their lasers now in Nvidia’s optical infrastructure supply chains. Can anyone guess the name? — Serenity (@aleabitoreddit) Jun 3, 2026
中文摘要 Serenity表示,当日发布的消息可能使一家光子公司成为$NVDA NVLink Fusion CPO生态上游激光关键环节。
原标题: Europe is releasing its Tech Sovereignty Package, today June 3rd.
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Serenity 观察 · 06/03 13:37
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): Europe is releasing its Tech Sovereignty Package, today June 3rd. This includes, CHIPS ACT 2.0, which is expected to prioritize photonics. Both $XFAB and $SIVE are highlighted in the Industry Policy Blueprints, which guides EU legislation. This proposes sovereign backing with €30–500 million financing facilities per company and revenue demand incentivizes. To bridge early Europ
中文摘要 Serenity称,欧洲技术主权方案包括CHIPS Act 2.0,预计优先支持光子学,$XFAB和$SIVE出现在产业政策蓝图中。
原标题: Is majority of the next generation stuck in the permanent underclass?
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Serenity 观察 · 06/03 10:41
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): Is majority of the next generation stuck in the permanent underclass? > Missed out on gaining control of AI through ownership of infra/compute today > Majority of jobs getting replaced by AI > Housing more expensive > Inflation makes cost of living go brrr. Gg? — Serenity (@aleabitoreddit) Jun 3, 2026
中文摘要 Serenity提出疑问称,下一代多数人或因错过AI基础设施所有权、岗位被AI替代、住房昂贵和通胀而陷入长期底层。
原标题: There we go. My CPO longs in Taiwan are finally starting to take off today.
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Serenity 观察 · 06/03 09:18
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): There we go. My CPO longs in Taiwan are finally starting to take off today. Shunsin +10% Foci +10% Xintec +10% Just waiting on Win Semi, Msscorp, and Nextronics to catch up. — Serenity (@aleabitoreddit) Jun 3, 2026
中文摘要 Serenity称其台湾CPO多头开始启动,Shunsin、Foci、Xintec当日均上涨10%,并关注Win Semi等后续表现。
原标题: Good times with $AEHR, it’s now ~$3.5B MC.
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Serenity 观察 · 06/03 07:51
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): Good times with $AEHR, it’s now ~$3.5B MC. Haven’t mentioned it as much since there’s nothing too new. Just waiting on volume orders for these types of players like $LPK, and others.Serenity (@aleabitoreddit) $AEHR looks extremely promising at ~$1.1B MC. Aehr is starting to remind me of an early $TER, mixed with pre-earnings $AAOI. If we look at the timeline and speculated cust
中文摘要 Serenity表示$AEHR当前市值约35亿美元,近期新消息不多,仍在等待$LPK等相关公司出现批量订单。
原标题: Okay yeah should have trusted Jensen more on $MRVL after what he did with $NBIS.
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Serenity 观察 · 06/03 04:54
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): Okay yeah should have trusted Jensen more on $MRVL after what he did with $NBIS. He actually gave a $1T price target this time with Marvell. Marvell up 35% with one remark…Serenity (@aleabitoreddit) $NVDA Jensen Huang: “ $MRVL the next $1T company ladies and gentlemen “. Marvell is currently trading at $191B. I have positions in Marvell… but how much faith do we have in Jensen
中文摘要 Serenity称,黄仁勋将Marvell称为潜在万亿美元公司后,$MRVL上涨35%,并联想到其此前对$NBIS的影响。
原标题: $LITE rode the first optical wave from $3B to $75B in 2 years time with EML and pluggables.
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Serenity 观察 · 06/02 22:19
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): $LITE rode the first optical wave from $3B to $75B in 2 years time with EML and pluggables. My thesis is $SIVE can do the same from $3B, with CPO/Pluggables and CW. Sivers + GFS SiPH reference laser news, alongside the +54% increase today. Is just one step of the way. — Serenity (@aleabitoreddit) Jun 2, 2026
中文摘要 Serenity称,$LITE曾借EML和可插拔模块在两年内从30亿升至750亿美元,认为$SIVE可凭CPO、可插拔和CW复制路径。
原标题: Tbh $XFAB lowkey reminds me of early $TSEM.
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Serenity 观察 · 06/02 21:17
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): Tbh $XFAB lowkey reminds me of early $TSEM. Just sub You basically never find a company with $NVDA and $NOK actively validating your pre-commercial silicon photonics foundry… (photonixFAB) While getting CHIPS act/Gov grants to subsidize capex. While leading the Europe’s effort to build a photonics supply chain. Feels like that alone would justify valuations… but you get the pow
中文摘要 Serenity认为$XFAB像早期$TSEM,并提到其硅光代工获得$NVDA、$NOK验证,同时有CHIPS Act和政府补贴支持。
原标题: DID YOU LISTEN ANON? Reuters: New Sivers x GFS strategic collaboration.
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Serenity 观察 · 06/02 15:55
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): DID YOU LISTEN ANON? Reuters: New Sivers x GFS strategic collaboration. $SIVE has now announced its lasers will be integrated into reference designs built on Globalfoundries Silicon Photonics Platform. For pluggable optical transcivers, CPO, and SiPH. This is fundamentally the most groundbreaking news for Sivers in history. As Broadcom, Nvidia, Marvell, AMD, and anyone who goes
中文摘要 Serenity称,Sivers宣布其激光将整合进GlobalFoundries硅光平台参考设计,面向可插拔光收发器等应用。
原标题: The most consequential event of an entire company’s history.
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Serenity 观察 · 06/02 15:00
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): The most consequential event of an entire company’s history. Got released today with a photonics player. Making them the functional standard laser for CPO, Pluggables, and SiPH. For companies like $NVDA, $AVGO, $AMD, to $MRVL using the foundry. Does anyone know the name? — Serenity (@aleabitoreddit) Jun 2, 2026
中文摘要 Serenity称,一家光子公司当日发布的重要消息可能使其成为CPO、可插拔和SiPH领域的功能性标准激光供应商。
原标题: $NVDA Jensen Huang: “ $MRVL the next $1T company ladies and gentlemen “.
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Serenity 观察 · 06/02 12:50
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): $NVDA Jensen Huang: “ $MRVL the next $1T company ladies and gentlemen “. Marvell is currently trading at $191B. I have positions in Marvell… but how much faith do we have in Jensen for the 5x? — Serenity (@aleabitoreddit) Jun 2, 2026
中文摘要 Serenity引用$NVDA黄仁勋称$MRVL可能成为下一家万亿美元公司,并指出Marvell当前市值约1910亿美元。
原标题: Just a heads up, I've uncovered a bot farm with dozens of accounts used to spread disinformation about $SIVE in the past few days.
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Serenity 观察 · 06/02 09:41
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): Just a heads up, I've uncovered a bot farm with dozens of accounts used to spread disinformation about $SIVE in the past few days. This illegal campaign likely stems geographically from Asia. As these accounts were used to do marketing for the same Asian projects like Alchemy Pay. Or bought brand new bought X accounts. All of which have no activity, but have an abrupt shift in
中文摘要 Serenity称过去数日发现数十个账号散布关于$SIVE的虚假信息,并称该非法活动可能在地理上源自亚洲。
原标题: I never thought I’d see the day where $GOOGL needs to raise $80b for AI capex… Then Warren Buffet’s $BRK.A is funding the hyperscaler AI buildout.
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Serenity 观察 · 06/02 07:51
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): I never thought I’d see the day where $GOOGL needs to raise $80b for AI capex… Then Warren Buffet’s $BRK.A is funding the hyperscaler AI buildout. - $40B ATM, $30B offerings, Berkshire $10B Upstream ecosystem from $LITE to $AVGO to Mediatek to $TSM to $MU should go brrr. Not sure if the Google holders are though, given this massive capex scale isn’t as funded by FCF. — Serenity
中文摘要 Serenity称$GOOGL需为AI资本开支筹集800亿美元,包括400亿美元ATM、300亿美元发行和Berkshire 100亿美元资金。
原标题: Macron announces that $NBIS invests €8B to build out AI Cloud Infrastructure in France.
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Serenity 观察 · 06/02 04:27
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): Macron announces that $NBIS invests €8B to build out AI Cloud Infrastructure in France. This was my favorite comment: “What about the Water”Emmanuel Macron (@EmmanuelMacron)Nebius choisit la France. L’acteur du Cloud IA dévoile un projet de plus de 8 milliards d’euros d’investissement pour déployer des infrastructures et des services de cloud, avec une capacité cible de 240 MW,
中文摘要 Serenity转述Macron消息称,Nebius选择法国,计划投入80亿欧元建设AI云基础设施,并提到关于用水的评论。
原标题: -> IP acquisition -> Just waiting for CPO to take off $SIVE is a laser chokepoint for photonics and are publicly validated by: - $
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Serenity 观察 · 06/02 04:01
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): -> IP acquisition -> Just waiting for CPO to take off $SIVE is a laser chokepoint for photonics and are publicly validated by: - $GFS (1 of 2 public laser suppliers with $LITE for CPO per presentation) - $JBL (“Relatively dramatic moat” for pluggables built with Sivers) - CHIPS ACT for the overall company For highest visibility: -> Ayar is the largest CPO player that primary so
中文摘要 Serenity称$SIVE是光子领域激光关键节点,并列举$GFS、$JBL等公开验证,表示仍等待CPO市场起飞。
原标题: I did say $AAOI was my favorite US optical long...
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Serenity 观察 · 06/02 01:22
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): I did say $AAOI was my favorite US optical long... +20.1% today. If you want the next $SNDK, you're looking at it. I think H1 entering H2 2027 will likely be that massive inflection point for photonics players. We're just a tad early entering H2 2026 while everyone is building up capacity. Just a general rule of thumb in general if your name isnt space or quantum, markets are f
中文摘要 Serenity表示$AAOI当日上涨20.1%,称其是最喜欢的美国光通信多头,并认为2027年上半年到下半年或现光子拐点。
原标题: $ARM is just ridiculous. $134 straight to $413 in just 2 1/2 months.
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Serenity 观察 · 06/02 00:34
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): $ARM is just ridiculous. $134 straight to $413 in just 2 1/2 months. Should have went options, would have been up thousands of percent instead of only 3x.Serenity (@aleabitoreddit) $ARM expects $15B in annual revenue from the the AGI CPU: "The company projects that the new chip business will generate over $15 billion in annual revenue" within the next 5 years. 5 times current r
中文摘要 Serenity称$ARM股价在两个半月内从134美元升至413美元,并提到公司预计AGI CPU年收入可达150亿美元。
原标题: Holy sht, plot armor confirmed with $NBISSerenity (@aleabitoreddit) $NBIS has anime plot armor!
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Serenity 观察 · 06/02 00:07
Tweet from @aleabitoreddit (opinion/NFA): Holy sht, plot armor confirmed with $NBISSerenity (@aleabitoreddit) $NBIS has anime plot armor! Happy to hear Weebius has been outperforming the market and Neocloud basket ( $IREN / $CIFR ). Last year post MSFT earnings, I gave a prediction after Q4 earnings, Nebius would reach a $100B MC. We’re currently sitting at $60B MC, getting close!— https://x.com/aleabitoreddit/status/2
中文摘要 Serenity称$NBIS表现强于市场及Neocloud篮子中的$IREN、$CIFR,并提到其去年在MSFT财报后作出的预测。